4M | Experts can't do this, but you can..


Hi Reader,

Did you know that in 2020, 82% of professional investors couldn't beat the overall market (the S&P 500) over 10 years?

This statistic got me thinking:


HOW DO I JOIN THE WINNING 18%?

Forget about working hard - there's a smarter approach.

A legendary investor has simplified this strategy:

Don't be stupid!

"It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent." ​​Charlie Munger

By avoiding common mistakes, we can outperform the majority.


WHAT'S THE BIGGEST MISTAKE EXPERT INVESTORS MAKE?

​Research​ by a well-respected ​value investment firm​, shows the average fund holds over 256 stocks.

The experts own too many stocks!

That makes it nearly impossible to outperform the market, since they basically own the market itself.

Here's our advantage

Unlike big money managers, we have more freedom.

We don't face the same pressures of regulators, worried investors or fears of getting fired.

This allows us to take calculated risks and focus on a smaller number of high-quality companies.

"If you can identify six wonderful businesses, that is all the diversification you need. And you will make a lot of money." ​​Warren Buffett

By picking a handful of excellent companies, you can potentially make significant returns.


HOW MANY STOCKS IS RIGHT FOR YOU?

The number of stocks you hold depends on your risk tolerance.

Or how much potential loss you're comfortable with.

Spreading your money across different companies (diversification) helps you weather market movements.

Studies​​ show owning around 20 stocks can be a sweet spot for reducing risk:


A SIMPLE RULE

How long are you comfortable waiting for your investments to recover from a downturn?

Multiply the number of years you're comfortable waiting by your expected annual return. This gives you your maximum exposure for a single company.

For example, If you're okay waiting 2 years with an 8% return.

This means you wouldn't want to invest more than 16% of your portfolio in one company.

Remember

This is simplified example and the market can vary. Diversification is key!


KEY TAKEAWAYS

  1. Don't be afraid to be different: By avoiding the common mistake of over-diversification, you can potentially outperform the market.
  2. Focus on quality, not quantity: Invest in a smaller number of high-quality companies you've thoroughly researched.
  3. Match your risk tolerance: The number of stocks you hold should depend on your comfort level with potential losses.
  4. Remember, these are starting points: As ​Ben Graham​, the author of ​'The Intelligent Investor'​ suggests, owning between 10 and 30 stocks is a good foundation. However, ensure you're not overly exposed to any single industry.

See you next month,

Ozbourne Foreman

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Disclaimer: I do not provide financial advice. Any views or opinions shared are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as professional advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

4M | Monthly Investing Newsletter

I tackle tough investing problems, breaking them down into clear and actionable steps.

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