4M | Share price doesn't matter, here's why..


Hi Reader,

The share price might be the first thing you see.

But, it's often the last thing you should consider.


WHY SHARE PRICE ISN'T EVERYTHING?

Picture this: you're in the reduced aisle of a supermarket and you've found a product on sale.

Before buying, you'd consider factors like the quality, price and expiration date, right?

Investing should be no different.

A low share price might appear to be a bargain, but this isn't necessarily the case.

For example, imagine two companies in the same industry.

One has a higher share price, generates consistent profits and has a strong market position (meaning it has a large customer base, a dominant market share, or a well-established brand).

The other has a lower share price but is struggling financially.

In this instance, the lower share price doesn't guarantee a better long-term investment.

To truly understand the value of a company, we need to delve deeper.


WHAT MAKES THE SHARE PRICE MISLEADING?

A common pitfall is assuming a lower share price means a cheaper company.

To understand why this isn't always the case, we need to introduce a key metric: Market Capitalisation.

This is calculated by multiplying the share price by the number of shares outstanding.

Market capitalisation represents the total value of a company.

For example, Sainsbury's has a lower share price (£2.65) than B&M (£4.53).

At first glance, one might assume B&M is 70% larger than Sainsbury's due to its higher share price.

However, Sainsbury's has many more shares in circulation (2.3bn) vs B&M (1bn).

This means that a company with a lower share price could potentially be worth more.

Market Capitalisation
Sainsbury's - £6.3bn
B&M - £4.6bn

Consequently, an investor drawn to Sainsbury's lower share price might overlook the fact that it's a larger company with potentially less growth compared to B&M.


THE PROBLEM WITH MARKET CAPITALISATION

Market capitalisation offers a snapshot of a company's size, but just like share price, it's a limited metric.

As two companies with similar market capitalisations can have vastly different valuations.

For instance, while Sainsbury's boasts a larger market capitalisation than B&M, the latter generates higher profitability (6.7%) compared to Sainsbury's (0.4%).

This highlights the importance of considering factors beyond market capitalisation when analysing investment opportunities.

Profitability is crucial for a company's long-term health, but even profitable companies can be overvalued or undervalued.

Investor sentiment and expectations significantly influence a company's share price, as reflected in metrics such as the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) ratio.

PE Ratio = Share Price / Earnings Per Share

A lower PE ratio generally indicates a cheaper valuation, suggesting that investors are paying less for each pound of earnings.

In our example, B&M's PE ratio of 12.4x is much lower than Sainsbury's 46.5x, suggesting that B&M might be more attractively priced.


KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Do your homework: Thoroughly research companies before investing, considering factors beyond market capitalisation and share price.
  • Focus on Fundamentals: Prioritise a company's long-term fundamentals over short-term price fluctuations.
  • Adopt a Long-Term Perspective: Investing is a marathon, not a sprint. Stay invested through market fluctuations to build wealth over time.

See you next month,

Ozbourne Foreman

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Disclaimer: I do not provide financial advice. Any views or opinions shared are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as professional advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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